Cases are expected to rise 45% by 2040
An additional 2.5 million people in England will be living with major illnesses such as cancer, diabetes, dementia and depression by 2040, according to a new report. The study from the Health Foundation found that 9.1 million people in England will have a major illness – an increase of 37% compared with 2019.
They said four-fifths of the jump in major illnesses will be driven by an ageing population, with people living longer meaning they are more likely to encounter – and live with – ill health. Around 80% of the projected increase in major illness will affect those aged 70 and over. “Some of this is almost certainly baked in and very difficult to change but, clearly when you look at things like type 2 diabetes, if people were to reduce their weight significantly after diagnosis of type 2, that can make a big difference to quality of life”, she told a briefing.
For the study, researchers used health and death records to look carefully at the 20 health conditions that account for 65% of the burden of illness in England. They also noted that life expectancy by 2040 is expected to rise to 83.1 years. “The rise in people living with major illness will not occur overnight. Managing these pressures is achievable with careful planning, investment and changes in how care is delivered.”
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