How the Ukraine Counteroffensive Can Still Succeed

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How the Ukraine Counteroffensive Can Still Succeed
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'Ukraine is still very much in the game. The many structural advantages it has offer good reason to expect that Ukrainian forces will liberate vital lands and the people living on them, if only the West holds firm in its support'

about the problem. These indicators clearly suggest that Gerasimov’s policy is largely pinning the same Russian forces on active front lines for a long time, forcing them to continue to receive Ukrainian artillery strikes and ground attacks for weeks or months without rest. Since the nature of the Russian defense requires considerable activity of the defenders, as we will consider below, the burden on soldiers required to execute that defense continuously for a long time is wearing.

If the Ukrainians are able to wear through Russian frontline units, let alone if they are able to make a serious penetration somewhere in the Russian line, the Russians will likely be forced to rely on lateral transfers from other parts of the front line to stop them. Executing such maneuvers in the face of an advancing mechanized penetration is extremely difficult.

A soldier covers his ears after the firing of an air cannon as Ukrainian artillery division supports soldiers in a counteroffensive on the Zaporizhzhya frontline with M777 in Zaporizhzhya, Ukraine on July 16, 2023.Ukrainian soldier firing artillery in the direction of Bakhmut, Ukraine, July 22, 2023.The elastic defense exhausts the attackers, as it is meant to, and inflicts losses on them without allowing them to make permanent gains.

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