The constituency will be electing a new MP on Thursday, but the parties contesting the seat have a lot riding on the result.
Voters go to the polls on Thursday to elect a new MP for the seat of Batley and Spen.
Some visiting MPs think the seat is all but lost, though Labour campaigners have a heavy presence on the ground and believe they can still win. But they know that at best they have a narrow route to victory.They have to persuade, at the very least, older and usually loyal Asian voters to vote for them.
So despite the specific circumstances in Batley and Spen, Sir Keir's opponents inside and outside his party will suggest that to lose two-by elections in as many months wouldn't just be unfortunate, but careless. It's not a 'red wall' seat - it is more ethnically diverse than many and is in the commuter belt of Leeds. Indeed, their candidate Ryan Stephenson is a councillor there. But having gained so many Labour seats in 2019, the party is under pressure to deliver another victory., as failing to win would further deflate Boris Johnson's punctured impression of invincibility.
Victory, however it is achieved, might well obscure the recent by election defeat, and suggest that northern England is becoming more politically hostile to Labour. And the prime minister would welcome the distraction it would provide from some of his current political problems.There will be no repeat of the Chesham and Amersham victory in Batley and Spen. The total Lib Dem vote in 2019 was lower than the size of Labour's majority.
They say his anti-crime message and campaign to re-open the local police station is resonating with white as well as South Asian voters, who believe their area is not getting a fair crack of the whip.
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