A new paper says its collapse could be imminent, but other scientists have serious reservations.
The new study, published in Nature Communications, used sea surface temperature data stretching back to 1870 as a way of assessing the change in strength of Amoc currents over time.The analysis is based on greenhouse gas emissions rising as they have done so far. If emissions started to reduce, the world would have more time to keep temperatures below the point at which Amoc would collapse.
"We know that there is a possibility that Amoc could stop what it's doing now at some point, but it's really hard to have certainty about that," she says. But the climate system is extremely complex and experts do not have all the evidence they need to fully understand the Amoc.
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