“More bizarre by the minute,” said one former senior US official, reflecting the whiplash experienced by Washington’s foreign policy elites 🔎 Analysis by SimonMarksFSN
One top official told ABC News it is a “mystery” why Prigozhin halted the advance, and then credited the Belarusian dictator Alexander Lukashenko with helping to defuse a crisis that had seen Russian excavators digging up roads around Moscow in an effort to slow the Wagner Group’s advance.
Many had spent the day on Twitter offering live “expert” commentary and suggesting that for Putin, the end was nigh. Now they argue that his downfall has been hastened by Prigozhin’s challenge, and that the Russian leader’s authority is both fractured and shaken. There is no consensus as to why the mercenary group’s leader has been permitted to speak so bluntly about the failings of the Russian military. Prigozhin’s public criticisms of strategic blunders would have landed any other Russian in jail.
It is also now apparent that Russia will remain a deeply volatile issue on America’s presidential campaign trail, capable of upending events at a moment’s notice. Biden will require agility to handle any eventuality in Moscow, and the unpredictable nature of events there could pose fresh challenges to his national security credentials.
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