A new poll by BMG shows that Labour is on track for a landslide election victory similar to Tony Blair in 1997
puts Labour 15 percentage points ahead of the Tories, putting Sir Keir Starmer in line for a landslide similar to that won by Tony Blair in 1997.
A computer model built by Electoral Calculus suggests that this result would lead to the defeat of five Cabinet ministers, if the swing from the Tories to the other two main parties were identical in every constituency. Any such outcome would draw further comparisons to 1997, when seven Cabinet ministers including most famously Michael Portillo were all ejected from the Commons. Since that election, the only members of the Cabinet to lose were Lib Dem ministers who suffered in the party’s near-wipeout in 2015.
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