See Austin Mock's projections for every team to make the playoffs and win the Super Bowl.
Welcome to my updated Super Bowl and playoff projections for the season. If you’re new here, I project the score for every game and the win percentage for every team using my betting model. The model phases out older data and uses data from this year as the season progresses. We then run that simulation 100,000 times after each day of games to give us our Super Bowl odds and projections from my model.
Advertisement Super Bowl Projections xWins is expected wins, Playoffs is projected chance to make the playoffs and Super Bowl is the chance for each team to win the Super Bowl. team xWins Playoffs Super Bowl 13.0 99.5% 19.5% 12.5 97.7% 17.2% 12.2 97.6% 13.2% 11.8 98.3% 10.4% 11.3 92.2% 8.1% 10.7 83.5% 6.4% 11.6 96.0% 5.6% 10.4 81.2% 4.6% 10.2 75.8% 3.0% 9.1 45.6% 2.1% 9.3 61.6% 1.7% 9.5 57.6% 1.6% 8.8 34.6% 1.1% 8.5 47.3% 0.9% 8.7 46.9% 0.8% 8.4 44.0% 0.7% 8.4 35.1% 0.6% 8.7 42.3% 0.6% 8.3 40.
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