Modelling predicts low-COVID Christmas - but another peak in January

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Modelling predicts low-COVID Christmas - but another peak in January
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The UK could have a relatively COVID-free Christmas this year but faces another wave of cases in January, according to one model

Asked why the winter peak is not predicted to come in December, he said:"They're usually after Christmas.

"We peaked at around 1 in 30 people having COVID a few weeks ago, and it looks like that's coming down," he told Sky News. But the Office for National Statistics infection survey for the week ending 17 October put the numbers testing positive far higher at 1,748,400 - around 1 in 30 people - and found the"trend is uncertain".January peak will be 'bigger than anything we've seen'

"So that should be seen in a very different context to previous waves and shouldn't be as worrying in terms of the average person's risk of being ill."

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