Lula Will Likely Win Brazil's Tight Election. But After That, Things Will Really Get Difficult

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Lula Will Likely Win Brazil's Tight Election. But After That, Things Will Really Get Difficult
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'For Lula, election night is where the good news ends. He faces major challenges from the right-wing and the economy.' 📝 ianbremmer

by just five points , about half the margin that pre-election polls led us to expect. Lula, president of Brazil from 2003 to 2010, remains likely to win the second-round runoff on October 30 and again become chief executive, but the challenges ahead, for him and for his country, will be daunting.

because a better-than-expected performance from right-wing parties that support Bolsonaro in congress, and in many races for state governorships, will limit Lula’s ability to advance an ambitious economic and social agenda. His victory will come largely thanks to promises to boost economic and social support for Brazilians who need it during tough economic times, but determined resistance from opposition lawmakers will frustrate his ability to raise taxes and increase government spending.

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