This Premier League Expected Goals report on Newcastle 1 Liverpool 2, very revealing stats.
Newcastle United 1.62 v Liverpool 0.86 In the other two Sunday matches, the teams with the far superior expected goals stats, picked up all three points.Plenty of people saying Newcastle ‘should’ have won and they are correct but sometimes it just doesn’t work out like that. Look at the Man City stats, they had five times better expected goals stats and yet almost didn’t win, needing an 88th minute winner. These are the fine margins.
Newcastle were the better side who created more and better chances, but didn’t take them, or Alisson made some great saves. The key Nunez goal was scored from a position where it needed a perfect strike to beat Nick Pope from distance and at an angle, give him 100 tries and I don’t think he scores many of them.
I think the big thing for me wasn’t so much the late NUFC defending, it was more the fact that Newcastle didn’t manage to have a much higher expected goals stat than 1.62. However, as Jurgen Klopp pointed out, going down to 10 men often has this effect, as they defend deeper and make it more difficult for opposition to find gaps / space. Ironically, I think that if Liverpool had kept 11 on the pitch, there’s every chance Newcastle would have created far more and better chances.
Liverpool didn’t create a lot and indeed, until the 81st minute they’d only had two efforts on target. They ended up with a total of four but the third and fourth ones ended up in the back of the United net.
Danmark Seneste Nyt, Danmark Overskrifter
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