The numbers dwarfed expectation.
Dwarf Fortress hit that inIn fairness to Kitfox's poor economist, they did describe the experience of predicting DF's sales numbers as"like trying to drive with the rearview mirror," and their two-month estimates ranged from under 100,000 sold to over a million copies sold. That's less an indictment of their predictive powers than it is evidence of how difficult it is to accurately forecast sales and the behaviour of Steam's algorithms.
It's all the harder because, while Kitfox's back catalogue has its share of bangers, it's never published anything with the vast history and fanatical fanbase of Dwarf Fortress. It was always going to be an outlier. In fact, as I write this, the most popular thread on the game's Steam discussion forum is one started by a perplexed user asking if fans have"been playing free DF for 25 years [sic] and just waiting for an opportunity to pay $30?". It's currently accrued. I'm no economist, but I think the higher end of those earlier estimates might end up being quite a lot closer to the mark about two months from now.
We rather liked gaming's premier dwarf-traumatiser at PCG, scoring the prettied-up Steam version 84% in ourand calling it"an experience you won't match anywhere else".
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