Fighting in Khartoum, Sudan’s capital, has been intense. The destruction is clearly visible in satellite images
Yet some witnesses are beyond the reach of Sudan’s warring factions: satellites flying over the country. Data from their instruments can provide evidence of war crimes, such as the burning of villages. They can also reveal how the current carnage compares with that of the recent past., which detects places with unusually high temperatures. It was designed to track forest fires, but logs natural and man-made conflagrations alike.
To isolate fires plausibly tied to fighting, we filtered out hot spots near cement factories, power stations and oil facilities, as well as areas marked as unpopulated in maps byhas recorded five times as many fires in the remaining areas as the average for these months in 2013-22. The spread of recent fires is as striking as their scale. When the civil war started, it pitted Sudan’s regular army against the Rapid Support Forces, a paramilitary group. At first, much of the destruction was confined to the capital, Khartoum, where belligerents were fighting for control of the government. Yet by the end of April, abnormally numerous fires had erupted across most of southern and western Sudan.
Satellite images confirm that fires detected in both Darfur, the site of the 21st century’s first genocide, and Khartoum stem from violence. High-resolution photos of areas wheredetected lots of fires show buildings burned to the ground. According to the Sudan Conflict Observatory, a research outfit at Yale University commissioned by America’s State Department to monitor a series of partially observed ceasefires, at least 0.
The increase in fires also aligns with reports trickling out from the country. The Armed Conflict Location and Event Data Project , a non-profit, finds that the current rate of violent events reported in Sudan is twice as high as the previous maximum since its records began in 1997 .
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