With a record number of Chinese fighters flying sorties over Taiwan in October, and rhetoric on all sides becoming more heated, many observers say the past few weeks have been the most tense in the region for decades. How serious is the prospect of an attempt by Beijing to take back the island that it has claimed since 1949 – and would an attack draw the US into a major international conflict?
Meanwhile, the US – which has long pursued a policy of “strategic ambiguity” in the hope that uncertainty over its intentions will dissuade either side from challenging the status quo – has been drawn into the rhetorical battle, with Joe Bidenthat the US would defend Taiwan. While the White House later sought to downplay his remarks, most agree that the atmosphere over the island’s fate is as heated as it has been for 40 years.
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