China is expanding its footprint in Central Asia with a wave of new deals. Beijing has gone above and beyond to advance its own multilateral initiatives, which would institutionally limit Russia’s position.
- Nov 16, 2022, 4:00 PM CSTBeijing has gone above and beyond to advance its own multilateral initiatives, which would institutionally limit Russia’s position.
A major downside for the Kremlin in losing regional influence is its weakening position as the primary security guarantor for its peripheral nations. The unstated “division of labor” with Beijing, in which Russia largely aids with stability via military and policing assistance and the PRC serves as the economic heavyweight, is quickly unraveling, as Moscow is no longer considered a responsible partner and ally.
This led to Kyrgyzstan’s decision to abstain from the CSTO military exercises Indestructible Brotherhood-2022 and its refusal to take part in the exercises in Tajikistan. Additionally, Kyrgyzstani President Sadyr Japarov refused to travel to Russia for a summit of the Commonwealth of Independent States .
The Kremlin is also experiencing troubles within the Eurasian Economic Union , another major Moscow-led grouping. Russia’s relations with Kazakhstan, a major ally within the organization, are in bad shape. Astana is reacting sensitively to Russian politicians’ nationalist rhetoric and suggestive territorial demands over the ethnically Russian-populated areas in northern Kazakhstan.
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