In the months to come the fate of Rishi Sunak’s Conservative government will be settled by the weather, rather than voters, MPs or striking transport workers
By Duncan Robinson: Political editor and Bagehot columnist, The Economistwill start 2023 with a pagan feel. Amid widespread industrial action, the fate of Rishi Sunak’s Conservative government will be settled by the weather, rather than voters,s or striking transport workers.
Having successfully shunted the blame for rocketing mortgage costs onto his hapless predecessor, Liz Truss, Mr Sunak enjoys a higher approval rating than his party and is more trusted on the economy than Sir Keir Starmer, the Labour leader. With the next general election not due until January 2025 at the latest, his advisers start to mutter about calling an early one. But, after weeks of speculation, Mr Sunak decides not to risk it.
A summer of discontent begins in June when doctors start a series of strikes, with all non-essential procedures cancelled. To cap off a miserable summer, a Conservativewith a majority of less than 3,000 crosses the floor and joins the Labour party. “Sir Keir’s Labour Party represents the values extolled in the Conservative’s 2019 manifesto on which I was elected,” he declares, with a box-fresh red rosette pinned proudly to his chest.
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