Dementia incidence trend in England and Wales, 2002–19.
By Neha MathurNov 3 2023Reviewed by Lily Ramsey, LLM In a recent article published in The Lancet Public Health, researchers analyzed the temporal trend in dementia incidence in England and Wales from 2002 to 2019.
Studies have found an age-specific decline in dementia incidence in the 2000s, which could partly offset the effect of this upward trend. However, evidence on how the dementia incidence trend has evolved post-2010 is lacking, especially for the UK. Study definitions and methodology The present study used data from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing to estimate dementia incidence trends in England and Wales from 2002-2019.
It comprised participants who did not have dementia at the start of the follow-up period. The follow-up culminated with a dementia diagnosis, the end of four years, or death, whichever came first. In sensitivity analyses, the team used the UK's Office for National Statistics mortality and population data from 2001 through 2018 to project mortality rates up to 2040 and their impact on the future dementia burden.
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